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Insidb on 25 January 2015
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AlfredoTurkey said:
Protendo said:
AlfredoTurkey said:

And you say the PS4 is winning. It hasn't won since... what, October? What is the overall lead now? Like, 600,000? Simple math says that Xbone will catch up and pull ahead at some point unless the PS4 can somehow start winning weeks again.

As someone who minored in both math and statistics, could you explain this simple math that allows you to feel so confident in your reasons behind the Xbox One's January win?


The demographics. People tend to think their views are the views of the world when that's rarely the case. I'd say that the VAST majority of us are fans of ICO. It's legendary. But ask the typical 16 year old kid who only plays COD, Titanfall, Madden and Halo about it and you'll like get called a homosexual slur or a "what?!?".

The Xbox 360 won the US because MS knows the majority of sales are to those people. They know those people. They own those people and it's those people that think Xbox=gaming. That's why COD on Xbone is outselling COD on PS4 in the US, even though it's being sold on a console with an install base that is currently around 600,000 behind. 

I just don't think there are enough of us to matter in the US. The Madden, COD crowed will win the day imo. But, we'll just have to wait and see.

1) Amazon has been a near flawless predictor of the NPD winner, including when X1 won the holidays.

2) The holiday period ended with the X1 trailing the PS4 by several hundred thousands of units (far more if AMD's recent statement is accurate).

3) PS4 has been leading on Amazon since the holidays.

4) COD: AW sold more in NA on X1 than PS4, Madden NFL 15 sold more on PS4 than X1 in NA, and 3rd party games have done exceedingly well on the PS4 compared to the X! (Refer to the aforementioned Amazon charts.).

In a nutshell, all of these facts contradict your opinion. The PS4 is ahead and appears to have been growing that lead for about a month. The casual gaming crowd in NA is buying more PS4 games (CoD is rightfully cited, but one data point does not imply a trend.). Just look at GTAV, the ultimate casual gamer game, and its sales. The PS4/X1 sales are the reverse of the PS3/X360 sales. We may not be observing the WW PS4 trouncing of the X1 in NA, but we can't ignore the tale being told by the facts.