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Youtube revenue is good but not much. I have another theory. Here it is.
Yup. PS4 is the default system, has more install base, more popularity and name of Naughty Dog. They might break even just with pre-order (I think VGC pre-order data is hight inaccurate).
ND said they spend $10 million for Uncharted 1, $20 for Uncharted 2. While it is hard to predict Uncharted 4 budjet my guess is its $40-$50 million. If they have 1 million pre-order then its easy.