| FromDK said:
Yes.. "not a bad sign" (as in this case means a 15% ingrease ww last year) do not in any way garante double sales.. But it has to start somewhere And to the "wishful thinking about casuals" please answer theese 2 question.. then I think you see what i mean Do you believe that a lot of 6-15 year and 15+ more casual.. Will end up buy/get a 8 gen console (Ps4 One or wiiU) ? If yes.. why do you think they did'nt get one in 2014 ? (can you see my point.. The casuals.. eventully will come to gen 8.. (and choose Ps4, One or WiiU.. even so they all was out in 2014) |
Depends what you mean by casual and what you mean by a lot. Would you characterize the Gamecube as having a lot of those casuals? If so, then yeah. If you mean people who bought Madden and Call of Duty on the PS3/360, then yeah. If you mean the Wii that allowed games like Just Dance, Carnival Games, Mario & Sonic, Guitar Hero, etc to be multi-million sellers, then no.
They didn't get one in 2014 because of either prices still being too high or software they are interested in not being out yet.
| FromDK said:
Don't think few % matter that much.. but ok. 3% ekstra in the west.. (3% of 3,017 mill) is 90.510 Japan down 25% (25% of 0,611 mill) is 152.750 So my headmath was a litle to low.. (that's why I said.. 107% in the next post becourse i knew that was more than enurf) BUT.. here it come.. The 100% correct %.. (West has to be up if japan is down 25%.. for a double sale ww) ... 105% What do you think is realistic how many % (if all goes well.. new ammibo game.. splatoon rocks.. Mariomaker.. all (we know) goes well) ? |
So, in doing those calculations did you notice what your end result is? Did you notice that it is not double? In order for 2015 to double 2014, sales need to double worldwide. It isn't only a matter of Japan being down, it is also Japan not doubling its sales. Therefore the west doesn't just have to make up for the 153k, but also the 611k from Japan not doubling.
| FromDK said:
Like i said.. for really to belive WiiU will get a super year.. It offcourse has to be up in januer (show good sign) i would say 10-20% up. Yes this is still for the hole year.. So yes.. Some month have to be more than 100%.. and 1 or 2 could even be down (examble MK8 month) |
Seriously? 10-20% up in January would be a good sign that it will double YoY? If the 2015 Wii U with Mario Kart and Smash can only post modest gains over the 2014 Wii U without either one, how can you expect it to manage more than double the rest of the year?
| FromDK said:
I only say that (imo) WiiU has the best value for them (best games, price. free internet, amiibo compitabel.. and so) And I do expect a pricecut this year.. ? (but WiiU could be up without) |
People have been banging the best games and free internet drums since 2012, and we haven't seen a significant effect yet. Not sure I'd classify Amiibo compatibility as value. More like the opposite. Not to say it can't sell any consoles though. You said you held to your prediction even without a price cut.
