|
Yakuzaice said: My point is that you need more than "not a bad sign" for it to come anywhere close to doubling. It also just seems like wishful thinking that casuals who still don't know about the Wii U will suddenly know about it in 2015. Yes i know you mean that.. :) And my point is that.. it has it to start somewhere.. |
Yes.. "not a bad sign" (as in this case means a 15% ingrease ww last year) do not in any way garante double sales.. But it has to start somewhere
And to the "wishful thinking about casuals" please answer theese 2 question.. then I think you see what i mean
Do you believe that a lot of 6-15 year and 15+ more casual.. Will end up buy/get a 8 gen console (Ps4 One or wiiU) ?
If yes.. why do you think they did'nt get one in 2014 ?
(can you see my point.. The casuals.. eventully will come to gen 8.. (and choose Ps4, One or WiiU.. even so they all was out in 2014)
|
Yakuzaice said: Maybe stop relying on "quik headmath" and actually work out how the Wii U can reach over 7 million while being down 25% in Japan and up 103% elsewhere. Then you might see where you are going wrong. No, I think 77% up is likely still too optimistic. It is more realistic than 7.2m though. |
Don't think few % matter that much.. but ok.
3% ekstra in the west.. (3% of 3,017 mill) is 90.510
Japan down 25% (25% of 0,611 mill) is 152.750
So my headmath was a litle to low.. (that's why I said.. 107% in the next post becourse i knew that was more than enurf)
BUT.. here it come.. The 100% correct %.. (West has to be up if japan is down 25%.. for a double sale ww) ... 105%
What do you think is realistic how many % (if all goes well.. new ammibo game.. splatoon rocks.. Mariomaker.. all (we know) goes well) ?
|
Yakuzaice said: Yes, and January was one of those low months. If it can't show strong YoY growth then, how can it hope to show it later in months that were stronger in 2014? Not only will it require the rest of the year to be up even more YoY, you have to ask why the trend would change from barely being up to being up massively. |
Like i said.. for really to belive WiiU will get a super year.. It offcourse has to be up in januer (show good sign) i would say 10-20% up.
Yes this is still for the hole year.. So yes.. Some month have to be more than 100%.. and 1 or 2 could even be down (examble MK8 month)
|
Yakuzaice said: Just because a casual didn't get one in 2014 doesn't mean they will start getting them in significantly larger numbers in 2015. Especially when you think it can happen without a price cut. |
I have answered this.. or you self have.. :) The "2 question"
If you can't see/know that more casuals will come to the 8 Gen in 2015.. then you just have to wait and see.
And remember.. I don't say they will buy WiiU for sure.
I only say that (imo) WiiU has the best value for them (best games, price. free internet, amiibo compitabel.. and so)
And I do expect a pricecut this year.. ? (but WiiU could be up without)
And textbox was not that hard.. thanks
