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FromDK said: Thats my point.. Not a bad sign.. I agree.. (and you could also say.. 15% up ww.. for the year) And yes.. MK8. Smash. Amiibo (and the gamepad) was out in dec 2014 also.. (but lot of "casuals" did'nt know about it.. they will first really see it this year.. And new games like splatton and Mariomaker (and other) will futher get the casual more interestet.. imo |
My point is that you need more than "not a bad sign" for it to come anywhere close to doubling. It also just seems like wishful thinking that casuals who still don't know about the Wii U will suddenly know about it in 2015.
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FromDK said: First.. you said that japan being down 25% would require west to up 125% to double. Then I point out that.. that is not the case.. becourse Japan only stood for 16% of last years WiiU sales. I say why you are wrong on the math.. and do a quik headmath (and 103%.. more in west to reach double sales.. Is think is pretty spot on) (instead of sayin.. "yes your right" I was to fast.. you start to nicpick the numbers.. come on) In my world a estimate of double sale.. do not have to 100% spot on.. And it would infact be insane if WiiU hit it that precis (+-0%) All my post in this tread talk about double sales (6,2 instead of 7,2 it was a "key error" my mistake) But what do you mean.. can you see and 77% increase happen.. (becourse then we are getting some where.. yes :) |
Maybe stop relying on "quik headmath" and actually work out how the Wii U can reach over 7 million while being down 25% in Japan and up 103% elsewhere. Then you might see where you are going wrong.
No, I think 77% up is likely still too optimistic. It is more realistic than 7.2m though.
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FromDK said: 5% up in jan.. do not show other that it sold better than last year.. I agree The actual % in any month.. do not mean that much.. Some month in 2014 was very low other much higher.. So in some month.. you could see a +250% increas from last year.. and some month could even be down (examble MK8 month) Point is.. We talk the hole year.. not one month. (just for the record.. 250% is an examble.. so don't ask about what month) |
Yes, and January was one of those low months. If it can't show strong YoY growth then, how can it hope to show it later in months that were stronger in 2014? Not only will it require the rest of the year to be up even more YoY, you have to ask why the trend would change from barely being up to being up massively.
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FromDK said: I have said it many times now.. More value.. and what i whote in the first answer in this post. And "please understand" that just becourse a "casual" don't got a 8 gen console in 2014.. they still could get one 2015 |
Just because a casual didn't get one in 2014 doesn't mean they will start getting them in significantly larger numbers in 2015. Especially when you think it can happen without a price cut.
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