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wangjingwanjia said:
How much did the PS3 sell? 9? 10? In the back of my head it did sell better than X360 in the first year, but it should be less than X1 if I remember correctly.

Of course I would say that the X1's numbers are far from a failure, the PS4 is just selling a lot more.

Also, how well is the X1 selling in EU and JP compared to X360, does anyone know?


I will answer myself. Had nothing better to do. :)

PS3 sold ~9.5m during the same timeframe as X1 did ~11m, WW.

In EU the comparison is as followed:
X1 ~2.8m
X360 ~1.8m
PS3 ~3.3m (with 3 months less sales due to March release) if adding Jan-March 2008 just out of curtesy the total sales would be ~4.4m for the same amout of months as the others.
PS4 ~8.2m

So the X1 is selling better than X360 in EU but can't match the sales of PS3, and of obviously not the PS4.

In JP the comparion is as followed:
X1 ~0.05m
X360 ~0.3m
PS3 ~1.7m
PS4 ~1m (PS4 this time with 2-3 months less sales due to late release) if adding 3 made-up months of lets say 100-200k their sales would have been 1.2m for the same amout of months as the others.

Looking at Japan both X1 and PS4 is selling worse than their previous consoles.

In NA the comparison is as followed:
X1 ~6.2m
X360 ~4.6m
PS3 ~3.2m
PS4 ~6.8m

Here the X1 clearly beats both PS3 and their own X360 which already had great sales, and are eding just behind the PS4.

RoW should be somthing like this:
X1 ~2m
X360 ~1.3m
PS3 ~1.3m
PS4 ~2.5m

Not much of a change for either one I would say, both X1 and PS doing better though.


My final conclusion from all of this? X1 is indeed not a failure. Except for Japan. And the X1 should easily be able to outpass the X360 I would say, but in terms of number I am not so sure about the PS3. Japan was still a pretty decent market back then, and the PS3 managed to sell 10.2m in JP, X1 would be lucky if it can reach 0.2m. Add those 10m(1m/yr avr.) to the PS3's strongest market EU, and the PS3 could beat the X1 in EU almost 2:1, it's very possible. But the X1 will nonetheless beat the PS3 in NA 2:1, much likely as well. So in the end it leans to that the X1 will indeed outsell the PS3 if the pace and lenght of the generation is the same as the last one. But I don't imagine the difference to be that large.

Going by the numbers and past generation above, the X1 should make 90-95m lifetime sales. Is it possible? I know that many of you believe that this generation will be shorter, so then the numbers would drop down, obviously. But imagining the same lenght as the last generation, it seems possible.

And to go on topic again. No the X1 is not a failure at all. :)