FromDK said:
You can also look at it more positive.. WiiU are up 15 %.. WW for the hole year (when i do the math) 13 or 15%.. Is still a positive impact (and until futher is showed.. can't be talking as bad sign imo) |
It's not a bad sign, it's just not a sign that the Wii U will double in 2015. Mario Kart, Smash, Amiibo, the gamepad, free online, cheaper than the PS4/XBO all of that was there in December and it only saw single digit percentage growth YoY.
FromDK said:
The 103% was calculatet in the head.. But so lets say 107% more in west.. WiiU had a pretty lausy year in japan.. with Splatton, X, Mariomaker, and Zelda.. I find it very hard to believe it will be down 25%.. if at all But do not hang on to small calculation and specific month.. My point is not that WiiU precisly hits 100%.. But that i think WiiU will sell much better in 2015.. and 6,2 mill WiiU is very much archivable. |
This isn't a matter of opinion where we can compromise. It isn't 103% or 107%.
You could have made the same argument a year ago and replaced those games with Donkey Kong, Mario Kart, and Smash. Much more proven sellers than the three you listed. Yet the Wii U was still down in Japan for 2014. Three weeks into 2015 and it is down 35% based on Media Create numbers.
Your original point was actually more than 100%, but if you want to drop it to 77% then we're getting somewhere.
FromDK said:
That is correct.. thats why i'm not looking for "125 %" higher januar.. It just have to better than 2014.. show good sign. And in june It have to be on track to double 2014 (how precis for that month.. we have to see :) |
Being up 5% in January is better than 2014 and might be a good sign in general, but it is not a good sign for the Wii U doubling in 2015.
In the first five months of 2014 the Wii U did 310k in the US. Let's say it is up 30% this year, that's a good sign right? That would put it at 403k. However if it needs 125% in the US to double worldwide that means in just those months it would already have a deficit of 294.5k. If June was also only up 30% that would add another 133k. Now the last half of the year needs to be up 163%.
FromDK said:
You asked me.. I see MK8 and Smash as the real sytstem sellers..of the games allready out As I see it.. Fit. Sport. just dance, donkey. do not have that "wow" factor the casuals wants.. (they did in last gen.. but not anymore) Splatton. Mariomaker. and Zelda.. I see as "system sellers" this year also.. Games there will show the casuals some new.. and has "wow" factor.. Amiibo game.. could also be "wow" I also see Projekt Gaurd, X, and starfox as some in minor degree.. The games you listet.. and other games comming this year.. are offcourse still AA(A) games.. and they will also do theire part. |
This just brings us back to what I was talking about earlier. If MK8 and Smash are the real system sellers, why did they not demonstrate this remarkable console selling ability in November and December 2014? What will be the switch that will suddenly be flipped in 2015 to cause people to buy a Wii U for MK8 and Smash? Of those three 2015 system sellers you listed, the first one out is in May. Is the Wii U going to be doubling prior to that?