| Yakuzaice said: Again, I just don't see why you think MK and Smash will make such a larger impact in 2015 than they did in 2014. More Value is the keyword They were there in December, along with the gamepad, Amiibos, and the rest of the library. Yet it only resulted in a modest increase YoY in the US and a substantial decrease in Japan. But an increease WW (best month ever in us) (and yes japan is down) Even if I thought that there was 1000% more value in September 2015 as there was in May 2014, how does that result in more than double sales in 2015? "1000%" should be seen over the year.. as the games comes.. (and tops with.. much much much more value (reason to buy) than before MK8.. when Zelda comes) How much more value do you think there was on September 2014 versus May 2013? Now how big of an impact was there on annual sales worldwide? I don't know.. Much more value.. and theere was an impact in sale.. we alll saw. Just because they will buy a console Yes "they" will.. We know that the "casuals" kids 6-15 and 15+ not knowing they want a console yet" Will start buy/get a 8 gen console.. And when this gen is over.. theere will be (I don't know.. let's say 60-120 mill to be sure) a lot of "casuals" (though I'd argue a huge percentage of casual Wii owners won't buy any console) A "huge % Wii owners will not buy a WiiU.. Yes i agree.. Out of the 100 mill. owners for sure.. But remeber.. there all the time coms new kids and familys. doesn't mean they will buy one in 2015 just because. No it Doesn't mean that.. but nevertheless.. a bigger "%" of console buyers in 2015.. Will be "casuals" than they where in 2014 Can you show me a console that doubled its sales based on games released the year before and no price cut? Can you show me a console who whent from 100 mill sold one gen to 20 mill the next.. :) (doesn't mean it won't happen) The number of PS4s sold does not make your Wii U prediction any more reasonable. It does if you can acept my "thougt" "if Nintendo get (not all.. just start) the casuals onboard in 2015" then it do not sound that "insane" Sony sold 20 million PS2s in a year and you don't think the Gamecube selling a third of that is achievable? Well it wasn't. I will not comment and use time to read up about past consoles.. But what is your point.. This is a new time.. New customors.. Don't have to be the same. So you don't think Japan will be up YoY? NO If they are down by 25% this year, that will mean the rest of the world will need to be up 127% in order to be up 100% overall. No that does not mean that.. In 2014 Japan only stood for 16% of WiiU sale.. that means.. if Japan is down 25% in 2015.. rest of world have to be up 4% to make up for that.. That ultimate means.. (to double sale) Rest of world have to be atleast 103% higer.. to make up for japan being 25% down. That also means if Wii U's January NPD is less than 111k, Europe/the rest of the year will need to be even higher than 127% up. And so on and so on. Januar NPD don't need anything :) I'm talking the hole year.. that means januar has to show "good news" not more. What are these 4-6 "true Wii U sellers" that are on par with Mario Kart, Smash, and Mario? Splatton, MarioMaker, Zelda.. Are the sure ones.. X, Starfox, could also be big.. Then there are the unknows.. "dedicated" Amiibo game.. some 3-5 games we know could also "tip it over" some casuals.. And last.. Projekt guard.. I saw this game in trehouse.. what an insane "casual" game.. make you own labyrinths.. setup.. guard them.. (share online) and really show of "asymmetric gameplay" Also they are presumable bigger than Donkey Kong, Pikmin, Hyrule Warriors, Nintendo Land, Wii Party, Wind Waker, etc since those didn't make the cut. Exept Nintendoland.. Theese are not that big casual games.. (yes Donkey is.. but we just had a very beatyful Donkey on the wii to.. So there wasent any real "wow" factor when "a casual" saw that game) You said both. That Wii U and 3DS would be greater than 2x 2014, and then you went on to say you believe both the Wii U and 3DS could double their 2014 numbers. Yes I did.. like isaid.. mayby to fast with 3DS.. but I still think it will do a lot better than 2014 |
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