| FromDK said:
I have spilt the text up.. and will answer them the best and as simple as i can.. And then you just have to live with me "seeing" it that way.. Until proven wrong or right :) 1. It will (as i see it) mostly be MK8 and Smash.. But also games like Splatoon and Mariomaker could be big.. Zelda could also be big.. starfox.. X.. and some other.. mayby.. It's the the total "value" (games, price, experinces, and usefullness) 2. MK8 and Smash are again some of the main reasons.. (and other of the 2015 game line up) amiibo will do a litle to.. but the point is.. it's all.. It's all the games and the gamepad.. Most casual gamers knows that there are new consoles on the marked.. but they have not yet decided or wanted to buy one. (you are not aguing that WiiU in 8-9 month will be.. 1000% more "value" for new buyers.. than before MK8 came..?) 3. The more casual gamer will (at some point) buy a 8 gen console.. Again.. why are you saing that they did'nt last year.. Yes i know that.. and they did'nt get a Ps4 or One either.. They are still buying an 8 gen console (the ones end up buy one..:) 4. Sony sold more than 14 mill consoles this year.. And you think half of that is "not achievable".. fine.. I do 5. Japan loves handheld.. The need more games.. And yes offcourse I talk about worldwide sales.. but I do see japan as the worst casual marked for a home console. 6. I don't see it that way at all.. Only few "true WiiU sellers out now.. MK8.. Smash.. Mario.. There will be 4-6 more in 2015.. (imo) 7. Yes hate MP.. :) and zelda.. that you don't know.. We have to see that.. There are some pretty big "zeldaish" games.. and who knows what Nintendo will get out of the more power and HD grafic.. (but I give you.. I would be very suprised if it sold better than MK8 and Smash) 8. They are not really relevant for this tread.. (and like i said.. not even sure it will happen) But offcourse.. A redesigned WiiU/Upad.. combined with Mariomaker becomming the new "braintraining" and Splatoon is insanely fun and totally dominating all kindergardens.. :) could do some.. rest you have to dream of.. but remember.. nobody saw wii-fit come 9. That was mayby to high.. did i said that.. or did i said combined Nintendo.. I think.. But Okay.. that do sound a bit high.. i will change that to i think they will do much better than 2014.. :) |
1/2. Again, I just don't see why you think MK and Smash will make such a larger impact in 2015 than they did in 2014. They were there in December, along with the gamepad, Amiibos, and the rest of the library. Yet it only resulted in a modest increase YoY in the US and a substantial decrease in Japan. Even if I thought that there was 1000% more value in September 2015 as there was in May 2014, how does that result in more than double sales in 2015? How much more value do you think there was on September 2014 versus May 2013? Now how big of an impact was there on annual sales worldwide?
3. Just because they will buy a console (though I'd argue a huge percentage of casual Wii owners won't buy any console) doesn't mean they will buy one in 2015 just because. Can you show me a console that doubled its sales based on games released the year before and no price cut?
4. The number of PS4s sold does not make your Wii U prediction any more reasonable. Sony sold 20 million PS2s in a year and you don't think the Gamecube selling a third of that is achievable? Well it wasn't.
5. So you don't think Japan will be up YoY? If they are down by 25% this year, that will mean the rest of the world will need to be up 127% in order to be up 100% overall. That also means if Wii U's January NPD is less than 111k, Europe/the rest of the year will need to be even higher than 127% up. And so on and so on.
6. What are these 4-6 "true Wii U sellers" that are on par with Mario Kart, Smash, and Mario? Also they are presumable bigger than Donkey Kong, Pikmin, Hyrule Warriors, Nintendo Land, Wii Party, Wind Waker, etc since those didn't make the cut.
9. You said both. That Wii U and 3DS would be greater than 2x 2014, and then you went on to say you believe both the Wii U and 3DS could double their 2014 numbers.
