| FromDK said:
The reason is not only lower price.. having fun/good games.. and knowing the console also helps.. They didn't buy a PS4 and One either.. but that dosent change the fact that a lot of "casuals" (kids 6-15 and more relaxed gamers at 15+) will get a gen 8 console.. even so they have not decided/thougt about it yet.. And fine you are sure that the casuals wont "come in droves" to Nintendo home consoles (like last gen) (don't know what you mean by droves.. i'm only talking double WiiU 2014.. Not that WiiU start selling like wii when it was best) WiiU is from November 2012.. just over 2 years.. 1 year older than ps4 and one.. (and have only first used some of the big guns last half year) And last.. I believe this will happen.. And what I Wants to happen is that.. WiiU triple in 2015 and double that in 2016.. (and I could also see that happen.. But not to make this to complicated.. (this will require not yet showed/revaled thing/games) I will save that until we see It's on track to double 2014 :) |
But you said it could meet your prediction even without a price drop. What fun/good games will impact hardware sales disproportionately in 2015? What will drive significantly more knowledge of the Wii U in 2015? Your arguments could have easily been made a year ago, and they didn't result in a massive surge in sales last year. Looking at the prediction thread for 2014, only 3 people undershot the Wii U, all by less than 1m. Dozens overshot it, many by multiple millions. There is a history on this site of people basing predictions, especially Wii U predictions, on their emotions rather than the sales numbers. This seems like one of those times.
"Only double" the Wii u in 2014 is more than the Gamecube ever did. Considering it is still tracking far behind that system, I'm not sure why that is so achievable. The only hard numbers we have so far is Japan, and that is showing the Wii U down YoY. Why isn't it benefitting from this casual effect? Will it turn around or is your prediction based on other regions picking up the slack?
Some of the big guns? The top 12 games on the Wii have all seen incarnations on the Wii U (depending on how you want to count Wii Play). Only Mario Party and Zelda are left in the top 17. MP has seen massive decline after 8, and Zelda is pretty far from NSMB/MK/Smash in sales potential.
What game or not yet revealed thing do you think could possibly result in 21 million sales for the Wii U in 2016? That would put it at close to Nintendo's second best annual sales for a home console in their history.
Also have no clue how you expect 19+ million for the 3DS this year.
