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I think Sony thought 3rd party will support Vita naturally just like they supported PSP and Sony homeconsoles that's why it fail.
Will sony stay in the handhland buisness it depends if they believe 3rd party will support their potential next handheld



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m