Sega doesn't like the Wii...

[Bodhesatva]

ckmlb said:

robjoh said:

naznatips said:

Now Blue3 or ckmlb, can you explain why graphics will mean so much within 2 years from now when Wii already now is way behind everything PS3 and xbox360 has shown so far.

I didn't say graphics alone are going to make that difference. But it will make a difference because the gap is only going to grow as we go. In two years, the Wii is going to look a lot worse for someone looking for games because the gap will be bigger and the price of 360 and PS3 will be lower.

None of this will matter to the casual players buying Wiis now. The question is how long will casual gamers flock to buy Wiis before the control and motion stuff gets old and how many games do casual gamers buy a year compared to gamers?

The gap probably won't grow much, Ck. I'd say some, as the PS3/360 probably have more untapped potential than the Wii does, but there really hasn't been a game that's clearly maxed out the Wii yet, either.

Gears of War and Resistance already look profoundly better than anything that is currently on the Wii, and yet the Wii is still slaughtering both systems in sales per week. Why would this change noticably later on? 

As for casual gamers, I agree the future is uncertain. What I can tell you is that I recieve more questions about the Wii now than I did in February/March, which is to say that demand is probably higher at this point than it was then. I can almost garauntee you that the system will be supply constricted at least through 2007 continuously, with no price drop (if the system were to slow down, it would be some time between now and August, and it clearly isn't happening. We're nowhere close to normalization). Also, the DS is fueled by the same types of people, and is still steamrolling ahead. 

In short, I do agree that there are differences between the Wii and the other home consoles in terms of target audience and design philosophy. However, there is no evidence in history, ever, that a system that sells this well for its first year suddenly stops selling well. It's just never happened. I think people who are expecting any sort of Wii collapse are just wishful thinkers: people who do not like the direction the Wii is heading, and do not wish the rest of gaming to head in that direction too.