jetforcejiminy said:
reasonable, we should just keep this thread on ice until 12/31/15 to shame all these people predicting 45m or 50m in sales by then... |
Who said 50M?
I know I said 45M was possible, but there are a pretty decent number of factors that all need to come into play for that to happen, GT7 release, good/great price cut, more AAA exclusives that have weight and haven't been announced yet, great bundles too.
From where I'm standing expecting virtually no growth in sales is unreasonable, because it never happens on platforms like PS4. Even 360 with all of the negative RROD PR, a weaker line-up compared to the previous in terms of volume of quality titles still managed like 33% growth. Even if you low ball the estimates for PS4 at 360 levels (which is highly unlikely given the factors mentioned in my previous replies like the greater weight of games and such) that puts PS4 in line with doing liek 37M by the end of the year.
Expecting similar sales to last year just doesn't make sense when you compare the games line-up this year to the last one, even without any kind of permanent price reduction and just having the games that have been confirmed releasing. When you add in other likely factors, maybe certain games that people think are digital only (like Rime, WiLD, possibly others) maybe getting retail releases, localization of Japanese games to the West, games like Drawn to Death getting released too. Like I say newly announced AAA exclusives launching in a similar fashion to how LBP3 was done, only with a game like that being purely a PS4 exclusive, that all adds to the impact on sales,.
A price cut along with all the games incoming will just be like throwing fuel on a fire.
