By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
JustBeingReal on 13 January 2015
Edit Thread
Aura7541 said:
JustBeingReal said:

Yeah there's a pretty stark contrast between the amount and quality of games incoming compared to what's launched so far, arguably it's the biggest improvement in software line-up compared to 1st year in recent times and certainly compared to PS3, like I said that had a 66% increase in sales growth compared to it's previous year. Droughts are basically non-existant this year and that's with every major conference for Sony to announce more new games at, but a plentiful line-up of AAA and Indie exclusives to fill out the year.

Japan gets far better support of software compared to last year during this year and any 3rd party like Metal Gear, FFXV (if it launches) may as well be exclusive to PS4, those should definitely spike the weekly sales in that region.

China is of course an unknown, but from reports the level of interest at least seems reasonable. IMO Japan levels aren't inconceivable.

I wouldn't be shocked if when all said and done PS4 shoots well past a 50% sales increase compared to last year by the end of this year. To say that 20% is the highest it can go is majorly lowballing the estimates.

How much do you think the PS4 will sell LTD by the end of 2015? I'm predicting it'll be in the range of 36-39M. 40M+ is a possibility, but that is if Sony is willing to be really aggresive.

China is an intriguing market and if it's as big as Japan, the PS4 can possibly sell close to 1M this year (assuming that the delay isn't that long).

LTD will be somewhere around 39-42M by the end of 2015 IMO, that's with the games we know about and 41M if there's a reasonable price cut down to £299/$349 officially. If GT7, a few other AAA exclusives launch by the end of the year and Sony gets a bit more aggressive dropping the system down further to £279/$329 (likely IMO) then I think 45M isn't out of the question by the end of the year.

If Sony or Rockstar come out of left field, reannounces Agent as a fall 2015 full on for life exclusive for PS4, TLG gets the same and GT7 releases in Nov/December time the system wouldn't even need a dropping down to £279/$329 to sell 45M units by the end of this year, it'd do that at £299/$349 with the right marketing.

Good PS+ games will help, along with some more decent marketing, maybe the odd limited time PSN giveaways like how PVZ at PSX was handled, that would be great for the system's image.

 

To be clear I think coming close to what Japan has done in it's 1st year could be what China does sales wise in it's 11 months or so. I think Japan will be well on the rise this year, with all of the games that are more targeted to the area like Disgea, Bloodborne, MGSV, Dragon Quest, etc the drought will be a river with some pretty constant releases this year over there and even some 3rd party western games have started to sell better in Japan, the likes of The Witcher 3, maybe Arkham Knight, BF Hardline could do well. I can see 2-3M consoles selling over there this year.