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well that's the point I don't see PS 3 or 360 pushing past the Wii... but I can see the Wii trend slow down dramatically depending on what exactly is going on on the consumer side.... is like parents buying the last cool board game all their friend buy but at some point it ends up in the storage and nobody craves for it anymore... because it's not like the PS 2 were they could use it as a DVD player...

if the HD booms real hard on top of that you could see the Wii trend go down...

I do see Wii winning too but that scenario could be true too and more than some people think IMHO....

that's why when every console will be 3,5 year in that generation at least we'll see the real direction the market is taking...