jetforcejiminy on 13 January 2015
| JustBeingReal said: PS4 should see at least 50% growth of sales compared to the 1st year, 21.15M minimum will be what PS4 sells this year. If that seems ridiculous then people need to look at PS3's 2nd year, it had 66% sales growth compared to the 1st year, at 66% growth PS4 sells over 23 million units this year, seriously topping 40 million units by the end of 2015 isn't unlikely. PS4's 2015 line-up of software is a much bigger improvement than PS3's 2008 line-up was and PS4 also has the 3rd party games way more on it's side, it could gain over 70% sales growth compared to it's first year, 24 million units sold this year isn't unlikely, which would put PS4 at selling 42.5 million units total by the end of 2015. |
if the ps4 had had a terrible launch and been overpriced (this time the xbone was the overpriced one), as the ps3 did and was, then 50-60% yoy growth would be conceivable. however, the ps4 did not have that kind of a launch. it had, in fact, a great launch (in spite of having next to no compelling exclusive software). one of the best launches ever, if not the best, actually. at best, then, it will have 20% growth, which still leaves it around 17m 2015 (~2.5-3m more than 2014). that makes ~35.5m, which is only slightly above my prediction. 33-35m more likely. bank on it.
