Global Hardware Up 27 December 2014

[binary solo]

So the way VGC fixes the issue of getting from 17.3M to 18.5 million in 2 weeks for PS4 is to have very flat WoW between for 20 and 27 Dec. I was picking 500K for PS4 for this week (and 300K for Xb one). But there is some logic to flat WoW change with Chirstmas being quite late in the week, and for some countries boxing day sales are very much a thing, which will tend to prevent too big of a drop immediately post Christmas. OTOH Boxing day sales being not a thing at all in the USA means I'm a bit suspect at the -1% for Xb one and the +3% for PS4 in the USA.

I am glad to see that VGC will have PS4 matched with Sony's sell through official estimate "in real time" as it were.

Xb one is a certainty to cross 11 million by the new year. Good result. From my prediction in September (before any $50+ price cuts) I think the Xb one holiday sale gave Xb one an extra 1.5 million console sales, which is a decent boost to the install base.

It is going to be a painfully slow climb to 10 million for Wii U. It'll have at least 1 million units left to sell when the new year starts, and sales will be back in the 50K range very soon. Still the good news is that Wii U sold over 1 million in December, and over 1.5 million for Nov+Dec. It's not amazing, but it is helping the Wii U establish a reasonable install base, and more importantly, Wii U has now easily gone passed the abject failure milestones of the pathetically selling Dreamcast and Saturn. However it is still very much in danger of setting a new low point for a Nintendo home console, somewhere south of GC. Wii U will be doing well to sell 8 million consoles over the next 2 years, unless something miraculous happens, and that will just about be its lot, bringing it in well short of 20 million with hopefully a complete home console refresh, including dropping the stupid Wii name, hot in it's heels.