How much do you think PS4 will sell in Japan?

[Intrinsic]

spemanig said:

I think it's just a culture difference. They just like the bite sized portable gaming experiences better than more dedicated console ones and are just not impressed by the differences that more power and a larger screen can bring to their gaming experiences. They just don't care about consoles.

while what u are saying sounds accurate, the problem is that you are jumping the gun and don't really understand what is really wrong with the Japanese market. their apparent love for bite sized gaming is simply that, they just have gone to where the games are. the real problem is the jap  developers. you see, unlike western developers; who will make games and expect people to buy the console to play them, the jap developers want the console to have a sizeable install base before even supporting it. that was the problem last gen.  no install base, no games. no games, no one buys the console. the problem of the chicken and the egg. 

this gen, things already seem to be different. but it remains to be seen. the only way your theory holds water, is if in 3 years we have a glut of Japanese centric games and yet the console still doesn't sell there. then and only then van we say consoles are dead over there. but you're basing your theory on a problem that has a possible solution that is yet to be implemented.