theprof00 said:
17.5m would be almost the second best year in playstation history. Don't get caught up with words like "pretty small yoy growth". Look at the graph..it's almost 100k higher every single week. Where do you justify 20m? I mean, I would have rathered it been 20m, but where do the numbers go? I even think most of my weeks are overestimated frankly. In addition, can Sony even MAKE 20m consoles in a year? I just don't know. If you think that ps4 will have higher peaks than the numbers in the graph, it's really going to take a toll on inventory. Going to be hard to keep up those kinds of sales with the only reasoning to increase production being "this year has better games". |
I think a September price cut is likely given how much production costs must have come down in what will be almost 2 years with standard parts and new models. That would get it closer to 20m. You just know it's gonna get CRAZY once they get to $299. Now maybe Sony will try to give themselves more price drop bumps this gen and drop $50 each time instead of $100 and if it only goes to $350 then I could see it being closer to your number. Also Uncharted, natural yoy growth, Ratchet, The Order, Bloodborne, and increased Japanese appeal will all drive growth as well as availability in the first couple months of the year unlike 2014. I don't know looking at the percentage increases of past Playstation consoles it seems like it could be closer to 20m and ESPECIALLY with a price cut. I think most of those games I mentioned have AT LEAST as much system selling power as Infamous. This could be the revival of interest in Ratchet with the movie coming out around the same time. Kids could pick up that and LBP3 along with a PS4 and parents will support it which could open up a whole new market for Sony and Playstation this gen.
