PS4 2015: 17.5m | 55% market share

[theprof00]

drdante said:

theprof00 said:

A quick estimate would be 10m and 4m...but it's really all about how and when they price drop. It's a really tough call. As you can see, the slim model on ps3 improved sales by almost 100%. It's crazy.

Plus, I have an alternative theory out there that the xb1 was designed to be oversized purposely to make a slim-line model much earlier. PS3 took 3 years before slim...but x1 has a new chipset coming out, possibly smaller ram chips, and a much smaller box. They could do it in less than 2 years imo. IF they can get a slim out, I think they can easily nab 12m

ok this could be apply to the US only...not globally, because even with price drops and new slim model it couldn't convince the global market to buy it. MS does not have global support

so i'm guessing maybe 7-9 million.

If they can get down to a 299$ price and a slim bundle, it should be fine.

To be honest. MS MUST sell at least 12m next year. If x1 only sells 8m in a year that has a main entry halo game...then they might as well start working on releasing the next console as soon as possible, because it's game over. It will be only be at 20m, against a close-to-40m behemoth. When you factor in that 2016 is likely going to see another 20m+ for ps4..it's real bad.

I mean, the game is already over for x1. The lead is too big...but they will fight, because they have to. Now, if they do 12, and get say 22-24m against 38m...they're still in the ballgame. Anything less and say goodbye to exclusivity, mulitplats, etc. It'll be ps2 vs xbox all over again.