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BraLoD said:
It's going over 20M next year IMO.

Well, I do agree with the Lord Lichtenstein thread, but I'm having a hard time finding a data set that would match it.

The games that are coming out are not, well, they're not HUGE IP franchises. ps3 had years with big games coming out and almost no change to sales. While I agree that the ps4 has a lot more going for it, I'm finding it hard to justify an increase of nearly 30% year over year, with the current baseline it should have during the year. The problem with Lord's assumptions is that he's using the 30% increase into 2008 and 2009, but not taking into account how under-supported ps3 was, or that both years had extremely significant price drops. One being the 400$ model, and the next being the slim and another price drop.

Sony likely doesn't want or need to do anything so drastic, so I'm not seeing that 30%. Instead, I'm looking more at the 15% increase from 2009 to 10, where Sony had good deals, good games, little competition, and just solid support and growing consumer adoption.