Beginning of gen predictions vs. predictions now

[S.Peelman]

I had something like this, though I'm not that sure about XBox One and I'm not going to search back two years worth of posts of mine ;

WiiU: 64m
PS4: 90m
XBox One: 50m

3DS: 118.69m (I said it would tie the GameBoy)
Vita: 20m

Now I'd say I would revise WiiU and 3DS substantially, and PS4 and Vita mildly.

WiiU: 20m
PS4: 100m
XBox One: 50m

3DS: 80m
Vita: 15m

I don't think PS4 will get that far past PS3, because the effective life of gen will be much shorter than last and it will be quite front-loaded. Plus, like it or not, mobile gaming is having an impact. Not everyone on PS360 was a 'core' gamer. As PS3 never got the legs of PS2, PS4 won't get the legs of PS3. Vita's sales are so slow it isn't even having a holiday uptick and it won't get to double the sales it has now. 3DS with maybe three more decent years could get within a distance of the PSP and the GBA, which would be good enough considering. WiiU could get near GameCube, which is still bad of course. Right now it looks worse, but people often forget GameCube's latter years were atrocious. If WiiU remains consistent enough and gets a full life I don;t see why it couldn't get to 20m.