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I don't get why some people still predict PS4 sub-100M. Why would the clear leader of the gen end up almost tied with the troubled PS3? And people are predicting a massive market contraction. Some predictions won't sum up even the 160M current base of PS360.

There isn't any evidence of a shrinking market, what's the alternative to consoles? People aren't going for PCs, since we still have a lot of console exclusives and gaming on PC demands way more knowledge and money than the average Joe can get. People aren't going to mobile, since 16 or 32 players online shooters are the main genre and you won't get that on your iPad. Any prediction that doesn't sum up at least a good 220 or 240M is crazy.

PS4: 130M
X1: 70M
Wii U: 25M