kowenicki said:
OT I still think this gen will be massively front loaded and will sell less than last gen overall. |
I'll limit myself to answer you about home consoles, as portables this gen range from 3DS little better than meh, for a leader, and abysmal PSV, so about that I can only agree. I just hope about home consoles you're wrong, but alas I suspect you'll be right, although it could be not Sony's or MS' fault, but just due to Ninty clumsiness with Wii U (last gen Wii went very well until Ninty shot it in the foot too early, while Sony and MS both managed to fix thei initial errors making the gen great overall). Anyhow, a front-loaded gen reaching, say, 200M overall, could have, thanks to the early boost, very good SW sales, not too far from the previous gen, that had just one early boost, Wii, while XB360 and PS3 really took off later, after having solved their respective initial problems. An early large share of lifetime users means a large share of them buying games for a longer period before the successive gen takes off.
But nothing is lost yet: last gen we had two disasters, RRoD for XB360 and horribly high costs and price for PS3, ruining their first years, with just one console having a great start, this time we have one great start, PS4, a good one followed by a drop, but finally taking off again and already leaving its troubles behind (so having wasted just part of potential sales in dead periods, not too terrible, really), XBOne and just one competitor in a meh situation, Wii U, if last gen eventually became so good, it could happen this time too, as this time there's only one bad situation left to better, and Ninty knows very well that with the portables decline it must boost again its home consoles asap, possibly not waiting for next gen, but overturning the situation already with Wii U.
