Landguy said:
That gives the PS4 about 53% of the market. That is definitely a controlling share and pretty much one sided. The probablem is, that Developers are not going to exclude the XB1 to publish games. Just the opposite. Sony will have no need to continue to moneyhat games like Street Fighter. All 3rd party games will come to their platform unless M$ buys 3rd party exclusivety. There is no reason that developers won't port games or develop them for XB1, as even 60 million is a large enough user base to sell to. Porting a game over from the PS4 will be easy enough. We don't have the whole story on Street Fighter. There is no reason for it to be PS4 only, unless Sony paid for it to be that way. |
You see I expect this gen to be quite a bit shorter than the last. 5-6 years at most.
-The PS4 is selling as fast if not faster than the Wii as of now, and should have longer legs. However I think the PS5 will come out within 4-5 years so I don't really expect it to get much past 100m.
-The X1 is selling as well as the 360 right now (A little better), or MUCH lower if you remove the frontloaded sales of 2013. I also expect the X1's sales to drop off faster than the PS4's because they will run out of room for price drops WAY sooner, and frankly I think this is the best holiday they will have in terms of their exclusives being more competitive than Sony's. So that is why I see it topping out at 50m at most.
-The Wii U however has and still is on a straight trajectory to hit 15-25m. I mean this will probably be their best year, with next year maybe coming close if they can bring the entry price down to $150 with a few great games like Paper Mario. This thing will also probably be succeeded by the Nintendo HD or whatever within 3 years.
