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ICStats said:

It's unrealistic to enter the smart phone market as a new maker and rely on Nintendo exclusivity to sell a device.  Smartphone hardware is cornered at the high end by Apple, and the rest by Samsung and a host of other makers.  It's a race to the bottom and even Samsung is hurting.  Smartphone software on the other hand is ripe for picking by a publisher with strong IP.

As you say, Pokemon would make ridiculous money on smartphones in Japan.  What was best idea in 2004 (DS) and in 2011 (3DS) is not anymore.  Since 3DS launched, the number of Smartphone users in Japan changed from ~19 Million to ~76 Million.  Smartphone game market in Japan is ~$4 BILLION.  Nintendo fans who don't want Nintendo to get a piece of that seem to not care about Nintendo's health.

This is just Vietnam as I am looking for similar graphs in other countries, but you can see an example of the trend heavily affecting Nintendo's future.  When 3DS was released smartphones had only 3% of the mobile game market in Vietnam, but now 79% and by the time Nintendo is ready to release a new handheld system, it will be close to 100%.


agreed. they don't like the idea of the consoles they supported for so long being no more. Sony has been killed by the market and nintendo are next. Surely they see where the potential lies for the next 10 years. The next DS if they make one would likely do a good bit worse than the 3DS but the money they can make from ios and android would be crazy. I'd say a shit load of my friends would get pokemon again for the first time in years. Almost everyone would have access to their games and most of them are suited for mobile.