Sony Ps4 shipped vs sold through numbers tracking

[soony_xbone_U]

DonFerrari said:

So you take 3pp because of japanese release (300k consoles) but ignore that it could be even higher to prevent shortages on holidays... seeing the record breaking numbers one seems more probable than the other... PS4 shipping figures is basically tied with Wii, so I don't why suddenly it would drop just to meet your "prediction".

I think 20M is a possibility, not a certainty, but if going by "opinions" that it will barely ship 20M then that would be impossible.

What do u mean by 3pp?
Japan sold through was ~320k fist weekend and about 370k fist weekend + fist week.
The rumored initial shipment was 450k. The fist few weeks were also strong sales with 500k sold through in just 5 weeks. Some more shipped than sold through.
If the console would have launched in November, too we had just ~ 8.4m Ps4 shiped from January to September (It was not due to supply shortage)
In that case alone the 45% quote would be below 6.9m units.

And now i just take away 400k units (what would be just a half December week), because of the stronger than usual sales in September.

I can tell u, why the PS4 will drop below the Wii shipped figures. Wii was a Holiday sales beast. The Ps4 is still a Playsation, not a Wii, that millions of partens bought for theire kids. Just look at sales figures from games like Just Dance, Disney Infintiy or Skylander. Often even the Xb1 sells more than the Ps4 version in the US, while having a lower installbase. Xb360, WiiU and Wii sell way more.

 

But even if Sony will ship 20.5m im kind of spot on. I doesn' change much.