| naruball said: Flawed logic. The ps2 reached 157m by pretty much the end of the ps3 generation. No game launched to an 157m install base. What's important is how many owners are still using their consoles and buying games. Sheer hardware numbers mean nothing, hence psp selling like crap in terms of software years before the vita even launched. You have a point but using 157m is just all sorts of wrong. |
Not flawed logic, just an arguably inaccurate number. But okay, let's use 93 million Wiis, that was in 2011 before the floor fell out beneath Wii sales, and furthermore, it's on a Nintendo system, more relevant to the audience of Hyrule Warriors. With it's current attach rate, that's 6.45 million sales. Attach rate for Hyrule Warriors will go down however, so lets say Wii U lifetime sales are 15 million and Hyrule Warriors gets no more sales. That halves the attach rate. Even with half the attach rate, on Wii's 2011 sales of 93 million that's 3.22 million. But let's go back a year, to 2010, Wii still has a lot of life left, install base is at 82 million. Using the same math, that's 5.69 million sales at current attach rate and 2.84 million at the halved attach rate. Let's go back further, 2009. Year of New Super Mario Bros. Wii and Wii Sports Resort. Run the math again and you end up with 4.51 million based on current attach rate and 2.25 million based on the halved one. And keep in mind that halved one is based on what the attach rate would be if Wii U doubled it's sales from here on out despite people saying it's at its peak now, and on Hyrule Warriors not selling a single copy more.
Fussing over a single number is unimportant. The point is Hyrule Warriors did damn well based on the size of its install base, and it's almost certainly becaues there are a bunch of Zelda characters in it. The Warriors series would never have done this well on Wii U without a strong IP to help support it, so yes, Warriors games with good supporting crossover IPs are going to sell better than the mainline games. We saw something similar happen last gen with One Piece Pirate Warriors topping the mainline Warriors games on PS3.
