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No..  With Kinect not being forced and a new subsidized price it won't happen unless these systems are peaking early.  Im expecting Wiiu to peak next year and end the year with a total of 16 million units and then start to decline and end at 30 million lifetime. However, if Wiiu peaks in 2016 then i could see lifetime around 40 million. Xbox One will go much higher in either case. Likely surpassing Xbox 360 lifetime sales.