I don't know. In many countries, the broadband network is nowhere near good enough in most countries to handle downloadable games. The biggest problem is that although broadband is getting much faster, games are getting much larger at a similar rate. a 50GB game is absolutely infeasible in Australia, It costs somewhere in the order of $100 per month for a broadband plan that would allow you to download 50GB in one month, it would take me five months for example to download 50GB on my current plan.
Also in 10 years, we'll really see developing markets start to open up and buy a lot of stuff, and they certainly won't have the broadband to cope with downloading 100GB games.
Let's not forget that someone has to sell consoles and accessories, and stores always have the advantage of the "walk past and have a browse" that online stores never will. Companies like Nintendo and Sony will have to keep stores happy, for the retail shelf space that makes your console more attractive to the average buyer. I don't see the demise of brick and mortar stores any time soon
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