| Rock_on_2008 said: ^ My estimates could be a bit too optimistic. We can only dream. I expect Wii to reach 42 million hardware total by the end of the year, 360 to reach 25 million hardware total and the PS3 will hopefully get to 27 million hardware total.
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How exactly is it supposed to do that? For the sake of simple math, let's assume the PS3 improves its sales drastically to a million units per month from now until the end of the Summer.
May 1: 12.5 million
June 1: 13.5 million
August 1: 14.5 million
September 1: 15.5 million
Assuming this large upswing, the PS3 will have to sell only 11.5 million units -- its current lifetime to date total mind you -- during the holiday season.
Yep, there's an outside chance of that happening. Not.
How do you define "in trouble?" If you define it as "microsoft will never reach the goal it set for the 360, and will likely finish way back in third place this generation" as "in trouble" then, yes, it's in trouble.
But if you define, "maybe they can have a couple of slightly profitable years near the end of the cycle, not counting the cost of repairs, showing that it's theoretically possible to eventually generate a profit from the Xbox business if they stop making show-stopping mistakes," as success, then it's a success.
