Is the 360 in trouble?

[starcraft]

tombi123 said:

starcraft said:

tombi123 said:
You can't include WKS and SOCOM as system sellers and leave out Fable 2.

OT: Yes the 360 is in trouble, but then it was always destined for 3rd place. It will improve sales wise over the original xbox, so not too bad in the end.

The 360 is certainly not in trouble. It's selling better than it was last year, despite the minimum US entry price for the console only coming down $30 since launch.

It also has a line-up as least as good as the PS3's this year, arguably better depending on what genre your into and whether KZ2 turns out to be any good.

I might add that the PS3's minimum entry point has come down $100 since it's more recent launch, $200 dollars if you include the period before the 40GB hit where the 20GB had been withdrawn.

By in trouble, I meant getting outsold by its competitors.

The only system sellers the 360 has this year are Fable 2 and Gears2. Almost all GoW fans already own a 360, so it won't push that many consoles. Is Fable 2 coming to the PC? NG2, BK3 are just not system sellers, unless BK3 gets 90+% reviews, which is very unlikely.

The PS3 can counter that with one game, MGS4. MGS is a bigger seller than Gears, and MGS4 is the first MGS on the PS3. Previews suggest that this game is nothing short of AWESOME!!!!!!.

It is very unlikely that the 360 can turn this around and start outselling the PS3.

 

In the USA it is quite possible.  MGS4 is out in June.  It will boost sales for a month and then the PS3 will have used it's only real system seller of the year (the entire Resistance 2 fanbase already owns a PS3 for Resistance, and Killzone 2 has even less of a chance than BK3.  That said, BK3 has an excellent chance of being AAA as it is being made by the team that made the originals) well before the holidays.  The obvious exception is if GT5 or FFXIII actually makes it in this year.

Tekken is the only other major title the PS3 has that might shift systems in and of itself.  But it's influence is clearly declining.