How much will MGS4 sell by the end of 2008?

[swyggi]

Soriku said:
I'm pretty sure MGS2 didn't sell 7 mil. MGS3 sold 3.96 mil so about 4 mil. I think MGS4 will sell less than MGS3, though because due to the PS3 trends the PS3 counterparts/sequels/whatever of a game in the series that appeared on the PS2 sell lower on the PS3. This is just following trends. And I VERY much doubt it will sell 6-7 mil by June. That's like...more than 50% of PS3 owners. Not gonna happen. I'd guess somewhere around 2 mil and with legs 2.5 mil if it's lucky. Not more than that unless holidays like Christmas provide a significant boost then maybe 3 mil.

 MGS2 DID sell about 7 million.  The reason MGS3 didn't sell as well is because there were so many games available on all 3 last gen systems at that time taking away from MGS3's sales.  Plus MGS3 wasn't as advertised as much.  Just look at the differences between GT3 and GT4.  When GT3 came out, the PS2 didn't have as large of an installed base. Yet when GT4 came out with a massive PS2 install base it didn't fair nearly as well.

 

Also let's not forget that MGS4 is bundled and will probably force a lot of people to go from tipping to straight out buying a PS3 just for MGS4.