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the range in the UK is 20k to 70k. I have no idea where it lands there but I feel 50k is a good number, around Forza Horizon (or just below I think).

If that is the case, US is x5 for UK, so we're looking at 250k in US hopefully.

WW 400k first week, that'd be a smash IMO.

Of course we have the bunldes that sold like crazy in the second week tho, so sales shouldn't drop as harshly as other games.

If MS have got ample white bunldes this holiday it'll easily surpass 1m.