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I'm going to go out on a limb and say the PS4.

1. China. While sales and shipments will be light for the first quarter or two I can see it having a positive effect (i.e. picking up the Japanese slack)

2. Japan. If the PS4 can keep up the game release pace of Q1 throughout the year

3. Expanded emerging markets. Sony has a better distribution network than Nintendo.

4. Price. Potential of a $299 price in the next two years

5. Games. The system has a game a week starting next year with some very high profile games hitting the system.

If it does not achieve it, the margin will be respectable for a $400 console (within 10-20% or 42-46 million)