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PS4 sell through as of 30th Sept on VGC ~11.65m. Add on the 220k under from 9th August you get 11.87m, still 1.6m gap to the shipped number. Ontop of that you'd need an absolute minimum of another 130k. So I'd say absolute minimum 350k under tracked, then maybe another 0-500k depending on whereabouts the amount in the channel is in the 1-1.5m range. 350k-850k under for me, so average it out and that's 600k