Shadow1980 said:
Shipped ≠ sold. I did aim a bit short, though, as I was looking at end-2013 sales, not current sales. It sold 1.5M for Q1-Q3 this year according to VGC, so assuming it sells another 1.5M this quarter that'll put it at just shy of 85M. With software support rapidly declining after this holiday, I suspect it will drop hard next year, maybe by at least half, and it will probably be discontinued after the holiday 2015 season. I suspect it'll probably end more along the lines of 87-88M. Still, that's only 2-3M more than my previous estimate. So, if the XBO ends up selling only 27-28M by the end of 2017, that would put total Xbox brand hardware sales at 140 million, right about where I suspect Nintendo sales to be at the time (I'm assuming we're excluding N64 sales in 2001-2003). I think it's going to come down to the wire, and whether or not Xbox sales can pass Nintendo sales for this century will depend on when the next-gen systems are released and how well they do. If Nintendo is first to market again and beats the others by a year, and their next systems is reasonably successful, then Xbox may fall short of taking the lead. |
But like I said, that pretty much means you think it'll be discontinued in January. It'll be at 87m shipped after shipping 4m this year, by Dec 31st.
It's dropping but it's not near discontinuation, like I said, 90m+ is a certainty, and what is shipped, will be sold.
That is why talking sold is pointless.
