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FightingSmile said:

I seriously doubt PS4 will reach 20 million this holiday, another 8 millions consoles? I seriously doubt that, they have to sell 4 million consoles in both November and December (that's for a 50/50 split) to reach that goal, crazy talk

However in saying that, i believe around the 16 million mark is reasonable and within reach. SONY doesnt have any big IP release at all this couple of months (except LBP3 which i doubt will move many consoles) but the ps4 sells well regardless. If they had the Order releasing these holidays i would possibly say even 17-18 million but no more then that

Also i am going off the sales for the ps4 based on VGCHARTZ.....


1.5m october

2.5m november

4m december

would be a more accurate breakdown

 

no console is selling 50/50 november/december

not even the xbox 360 in the us only

 

 

still impossible to happen

1.5m october would be 25% wow increas from september (destiny and fifa 15 launch)

what excatly has ps4 to offer in october beside some decent selling multipalts and the worst launch fucked up exclusive game?

 

2.5m november would be the same figure like the best ever selling november for x360  and higher than any ps3 november

and only the last two weeks in november the ps4 has its exclusive game, thrid party co marketing games and bundles (lpb, farcry 4 and gtaV - all released on 18. november)

 

4m december would be the same as best selling ps3 and x360 december. only the wii ever managed to sell more than 4m in december

 

 

we talk about frist year sales for a 399 console here

if all this come ture, ps4 will have 200m lifetime