September 2014 NPD Thread! Everything is up!

[Intrinsic]

vivster said:

If you want to play Nintendo games, you go left.
If you want to play MS/Sony games, you go right.
If you want to play multiplat games only, you go right.
If you want to play Nintendo games and multiplat you go left or both.
If you want to play multiplat and MS/Sony exclusives you go right.
If you want to play multiple exclusives you go both or whatever exclusives you prefer most if you don't have enough cash.

I just don't see a big middleground that would be shared by all 3 of them which would make it hard to decide. It's pretty much clear from the getgo which platforms you choose so there is no stealing from each other.

Its not about stealing... let me modify your analysis to how I think it actually is.

• You want nintendo games; you you take the red pill
• You ant sony games you take the blue pill
• you want MS games you take the green pil
• You want tmultiplatform games you take the black pill
• You can take no more than two pills

The people that buy a console exclusively for the games of that platform holder are what makes up the core audience of that platform. These are the people that will jump in regardless of what anyone says or thinks.

The people that buy a console for multiplatform games will either buy what is the most popular console, cheapest, most powerful or any combination of those choices. So now lets explain all this

• Nintendo fans will buy a nintendo console. Their core base, and judging from the last time they had a core base was as high as 20M+ (GC era). We cannot draw any conclusions from the wii caue we do not know exactly how much that core base grew. Or if it has even shrunk. These people will buy a wiiU even if a PS4/XB1 exists or not. They may just be waiting for that one game they really want to play.
  
  
• This applies to both sony and Ms fans. Their core base will buy their console regardless. Its also hard to say exactly what sony's base is cause last gen they sold 80M+. But realistically that number is more like 50M. Last gen 360 was the popular console, so its hard to determine how bought it cause it was the most popular.
  
  
• having said all that, if everyone that follows a platform buys it for the games from that platform, that leaves the neutrals. The ones that will buy a console for multiplats and naturally the games on that platform. These people buy a console cause its more popular...etc. This is the problem nintendo and MS are goingto have. Thi wild card vote. There are no multiplatform games on the wiiU. So this automatically means the console is already closed to that audicne. Nintendo's console cannot grow on their exclusives alone. Unless they can pull off another wii motion fad again.
  
  
• This leaves us with sony and MS. and now we are talking about choosing two very identical consoles with two very identical libraries. There is now more than ever no reason to have both.  No one is stealing from anyone per say...teh neutrals are just going to where they feel the grass is greener.