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GTAexpert on 16 October 2014
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kupomogli said:
GTAexpert said:
kupomogli said:
GTA5
Far Cry 4
Watch Dogs
AC Unity

GTA5 because it's GTA. Far Cry 3 was one of the biggest surprises of last gen and Far Cry 4 is not only its sequel but cross gen. Watch Dogs is a cross gen title. AC Unity is next gen only and the whole parity fiasco won't drop sales much, but certainly isn't doing the game any favors.

Watch Dogs has already shipped over 8 million units with actual sales somewhere close to that, and would probably sell over 9 million units by the end of the year. Do you really think that GTA V on PS4 + XB1 will outsell it this year? Its just a port, even though GTA is big. I don't think it will sell that much.

Sales only in 2014?  Then need to swap Far Cry 4 and Watch Dogs.  With GTA5, I still think it'll sell more than Watch Dogs.

With the release of GTA5, just about everyone was making comments about how they wanted it on next gen consoles and that they know Rockstar would release it on next gen consoles.  They announced it later on, so exactly what everyone figured.  I think a lot of people who already purchased GTA5 will purchase it again on the next gen consoles and the people who haven't purchased it because they were waiting for the next gen version will also purchase it. 

Also take a look at The Last of Us PS3 and PS4 sales.  Sales were 0.29 : 1.  If you take that ratio to the GTA5 sales, then GTA5 will sell 9.28m on next gen consoles.  Maybe not that amount, but they'll do around eight million because it's a popular IP compared to a new IP.  Next gen versions alone are probably going to sell more than Watch Dogs but going off VGChartz statistics, last gen versions of GTA5 have sold close to three million copies this year, so the next gen versions really only have to sell around five million.  That's very possible.

You are overestimating GTA V on current-gen. I think it will likely sell over 3 million this year, but not more than that. It cannot be compared to TLOU, as TLOU wasn't available to many former X360 gamers last gen who converted to PS4. The same cannot be said for GTA V.