| DerNebel said: Well to be fair, before the Xbox One announcement plenty of people thought that MS was going to hit it out of the park and if we go even further back to 2012 or something then a lot of people thought that the next PS wouldn't stand a chance against the next Xbox at all, with phrases like "NA is now Xbox territory, the real battleground next gen will be Europe"-being thrown around, which turned out to be hilariously wrong. |
Plenty of people who objectively analyse sales data and market trends? Or plenty of one-eyed Xbox fans?
My analysis was that Sony had learned a valuable and near fatal lesson with PS3 and they would not make the same mistakes again. They would launch alongside MS and they would be price competetive and make a machine that was easier for 3rd parties to develop on. Therefore Sony was more likely to regain customers and take market share off MS than the other way around. I thought MS was still likely to win UK and USA, but by much smaller margins and Sony was likely to increase its leads in almost all other markets. I think that would have been the case had MS not DRM'd its way out of consumer good will and hadn't cocked up on the hardware by throwing in Kinect and making a less powerful, bulkier and uglier machine more expensive. But because MS did all those things wrong PS4 even has the USA and the UK in its favour now.
It won't be until 2016 that there can be any certainty about whether or not PS4 will retain the number 1 position in the USA. But I think we can be confident that by early next year we'll know that PS4 will stay on top in the UK.
The only real danger to PS4 was Sony, and it remains a danger to PS4 until it gets its company-wide financial shit sorted out.
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."
Jimi Hendrix
