| Tachikoma said: your calculations still assume that the maximum amount of users owned the game the entire month, and that is flat out wrong. new players are far more likely to play the game more than old players as time progresses, people buying in week three for example will log more time than the average user in to their third week of owning the game.
the statistics are correct, you are wrong. |
Yes, my calculations make an assumption on volume but the fact that the majority, as has already been cordealy demonstrated in this very thread, owned the game on day one and, by approximation, within the first week, the statistics are more than valid in their use here. The bulk of the playerbase, over five million, are in the first day and the remaining can be largely set into the second week with minor trail-off in the following two weeks. So even if newer players log-in more frequently then older ones (arguable, actually...) they are such a statistical minority that they would hardly cause a budge when the data is so front loaded.
The statistics being right or wrong is not the question, it is about their deceptive slant. They are presenting averages, these types of left-bloated statistics should never use averages without medians. In fact the median is the more appropriate number to use here but it would tell a far, far different story I suspect.
Sales are front-loaded, the data is left-biased, and presenting averages is nothing short of bullshit of the highest statistical calibre.
