Intrinsic said:
you seem to know so much about a market that ahs not had any official slaes tracking in 14yrs at best. The amount of ignorance levied against china is baffling. This is a country that borrows NA money for crying out loud. Its also a country that sold bought 1M iphones in a month and is projected to sell 15-24M iphones per year. This is a country that currently indirectly owns an increasing number of companies in the free world. I don't know how well or poorly consoles will sell there, but I thnk its just silly to conclude that they won't. Especially when everything else shows that they can. The funny thing about china, is that if just 1% of their population are interested in buying consoles, thats already over 13M people right there. I can't even begin to understand the logic in thinking that a country with a population of over 1.3B people will not have at least 5M people willing to buy consoles over the next 6 years. The numbers or logic suggesting such just doesn't add up. |
just throwing out some perspective here. if you do your math as [population * 1% = consoles] then here are some other percentatage for comparision
US has a population of 316.1M people so: 360 reach 14%, ps3 reached 8% and wii reached 13%
japan has a population of 127.3M people so: 360 reached 1%, ps3 reached 8%, and wii reached 10%
UK has a population of 64.1M people so: 360 reached 14%, ps3 reached 9%, and wii reached 13%
these are rich countries (poverty rates less than half that of china) where consoles are well established.
and remember consoles aren't so "personal" as a phone. if consoles reaches 1% of china the math isn't 13.5M units it is more like 3.3M units if we assume the average household has 4 people in it (a number i made up because i couldn't find a real number for china).