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alrightiwill said:

VGC will be tracking China but have already stated that the numbers are to be taken with a lot of salt. ioi is estimating XBO China release to be 70k

Its gonna have to be a shot in the dark.   Most likely only SMG has a real ballpark figure at best.  There are a few agencies that do claim to provide retail data for China but the dataset cost money and their is no way to know how current or accurate their data is.