I am inclined to agree with you. However, I certainly would be more confident (like many) after seeing what the Xbox One does this holiday. I have said from the start I thought its' sales were "fine", not great, just fine, and that it would be a successful consolve when all is said and done. I have been somewhat surprised, though, every time a situation lines up in Microsoft's favor to boost sales significantly (whether that be a game, lack of software on competition or the removal of the Kinect) and it just never seems to do quite as well as I think it will. So, I certainly think the holiday will help clear that up a bit.
Overall, though, I also believe the console will be fine over the long haul. As a multiplat guy it still is not a viable option for me to add next to my PS4 but that may change in time. I eventually added a 360 last gen when a couple of exclusives interested me. If they would only work on an Alan Wake sequel I could get excited about it. :D
