Are there still people who believe PS4 wont reach +16M by 2015 ?

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ikki5 said:

Aerys said:

ikki5 said:

I am going to bank on 13-14 mil. 15 mil possible but unlikely but 16 mill is a bit of a stretch. to get to 16 mill, it will need to do 1.5 mil per month and right now, it is a struggle at times to get to half of that.

 

yep, and I am still goiong to stick by those numbers. The big systems sellers like watch dogs, Fifa and The Last of Us remastered and such still didn't move many more to get to those numbers. Black friday and christmas, yeah, they will move a lot but like I said, I am not expecting more than 4 million between them. Also, the numbers are 10 million now. It hit like 10 million like a week or two ago, It did not sell a million consoles in that time. But for my sales numbers, I expect about 600-750k this month,  750-900k next month, and then about 2-3 mil over November and december. That's why I said 15 mil was possible.

3 million in December alone is all but guaranteed, PS3's worst December before PS4 launched was 2.3 million. Its December performances, during the period is was available globally, not just globally in the USA) were 2.5M, 2.3M, 3.9M, 3.4M, 3.5M, 2.6M. Yet you think between Nov AND Dec PS4 might do as little as 2 million, 300K less than PS3's worst world wide December? And PS3 has never did less than 1 million in November while it was the current gen console and available worldwide. 4 million is pretty much the minimum expectation for Nov and Dec, and 1.8 million is certainly achievable between 1 Sept and 31 Oct. And that gives us 16 million.

14 million as the upper limit of what you are certain about is farcical.

We also have Destiny appearing to have sold 7 million units across all platforms, even if the sales are evenly shared across all 4 platforms that's still 1.75 million for PS4, and is more likely to be over 2 million. That's going to shift a lot of consoles.