Activision spending $500 million on Destiny

[vivster]

tbone51 said:

vivster said:

tbone51 said:

vivster said:

Not really a risky bet.

Mark my words, they will make this back within a year and then onward double and triple that amount.

As Fatslob showed us the graph above, it needs to sell 18.5mil to break even (not counting DLC), It kinda is risky, it'll be huge no doubt, but double? triple? (meaning 1bil or 1.5bil) would mean 37mil+ for double, not happening

Because we all know the only revenue stream a game can have is its initial sales price. DLC, microtransactions and other marketing and licensing deals are nonexistent.

Ummm... Ok? I said not including DLC, add $10 to each game sold ($37) which is a huge estimate cuz not ever game sold will make money on dlc/etc, they still need to sell alot. About 14mil copies to break even, including DLC, so doubling maybe cuz it'll need to sell 28mil+ (this includes dlc), but tripling? No chance at all. They wont make that much. Just look at the math

Long live math!

i think it's a safe bet to say that they will sell about 8m the first week. And they already got DLC in the pipe for at least $35 within the first months. And Since DLC has a giant profit margin compared to the initial game, the DLC profit will easily overtake the initial game profit.

If we assume that the 500m figure includes maintenance(server, marketing, DLC development), let's say, over the next 3 years then we're going to see that profit tripling within the first 3 years. We have not even reached the first Chrismas yet.