By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
rdupuy11 said:

Nintendo Wii U and xBox One are not really aimed at the same market.  One doesn't do better, and that harms the sales of the other - so, while I think the comparison of sales is fun - one should take the strategy of estimating Wii U sales, then estimating xBox One sales - and then comparing final numbers.

 

Comparing release schedules of software has no particular value.

Wii U market is different in that its the body of work, that juices sales.  So last years release of Super Mario 3d World, and the mid-year release of Mario Kart 8, are going to juice sales going into the holiday season.   So too will the non-game release of the Amiibo figurines.   And yes, Super Smash Bros. will get people into the stores as well.

Nintendo is clearly headed to year-over-year growth for Holiday 2014.

Microsoft - is trending the other way.  While its difficult to make comparisons against their debut last year - we do  know they were getting the benefit of the doubt at first, and the market seems to be crowning Sony as the next generation standard.  Those 3rd party software releases tend to goose PS4 sales, and not so much xBox One sales.

So with Nintendo poised for strong year-over-year growth, and Microsoft somewhat in question and the trends haven't been great - I predict Microsoft will not close the gap on Nintendo at all.

The big question is, Amiibo.   If Amiibo is some kindof hit, Nintendo will widen the gap.

But I'm not going to wuss out here, I'll make a prediction - the gap will stand at 2.2 million at the end of the year - in favor of Nintendo.

p.s. after reading the comments, I also would submit to you all, you over discuss the concept of buying a second living room game machine.

I seriously doubt Nintendo is trying to maximize sales of being the second choice after PS4 - far more likely they are trying to convert their 3DS customers to being Wii U customers - and that's an easy guess - Amiibo makes that strategy kind of obvious.

Agree with you on all of it. But why does that have to be their only strategy? They can atract 3ds owners as well as apel to the ps4 owners. There is good potential for both.



It takes genuine talent to see greatness in yourself despite your absence of genuine talent.