Arkaign said:
We lack the proper context for this because we're headed into much busier months starting NOW. It would be a failure of absolutely magnificent proportions if September wasn't larger than July or August. But if PS4 rises at a higher % than XB1 does from August to September globally, does that mean Tier2 did nothing? No, not really. The problem for this whole thing is that it's impossible to know how much impact this has. As noted, 'new' sales in Tier2 after official launch may coincide with lower sales from countries that they import from. And simultaneously, if 'import' XB1s are freely available at a cheaper price than 'official' XB1s in particular countries, then sales might appear to be a total disaster in that country, but in reality the country may be buying a fair number of them (but those sales count for the country of import origin, not inside that particular country). |
I will refrase:
With the new territories the XOne sales will be 25% higher than it would be without. Sales will probably incrise more due to Destiny and pre hollydays sales. Sales start to rise in September and grow until November and stays flat in December. The 25% effect will be deluted month over month untill it´s close to normal sales rate.
It´s fairly ease to estimate the impact of these new territories in the base line sales, just look at the ratio of previous generation and how PS4 is doing right now. You can assume the XOne could do better or worst than the PS360 or the PS4, and trace a projection.
