I won't pretend to know for certain. But we can safely assume that anyone buying consoles in these countries has internet. They have access to all the same sites and message boards that we do. So I think it would be improper to assume it will have big launches in any of these countries, because they most likely are seeing the same thing we're all seeing, that PS4 is the "winning" console, and most people will still want to go with the winning console.
What Microsoft failed to learn is that historically, people do not have console allegiances. There will always be "fanboys," but the majority of people go to what is leading, and that tends to switch each generation. Microsoft saw their success with 360 and thought people would just go to their system regardless, the same mistake Sony made when they rolled out PS3.
To that end, I see it selling even worse than previous Xboxes did in Japan, and the other regions aren't really worth discussing in terms of overall numbers. Keep in mind also that Sony was very smart in making PS4 Japan announcements this week. First Dragon Quest Heroes with a special limited edition console and then Persona 5. So that's where Japanese gamers are gonna go.
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